giovedì 7 aprile 2016

Alicun notas super le referendum nederlandese pro le accordo associative UE-Ucraina


Le referendum resultava in un clar victoria del partito del "NO" (circa 61% contra le 39% del "SI"), e le percentual del votantes esseva 32,2%, superior al 30% qui esseva requirite pro conferer validitate al voto.

Considerationes rapide:
  1. Non sia deluse (si tu sperava in un "si") o troppo felice (si tu supportava le "no"): le referendum essera substantialmente ignorate, como il non es rar in nostre democratias.
  2. Le accordo de association es jam active.
  3. Il es le prime vice que le accordo ha essite subponite a un voto popolar.
  4. Nonobstante que le major parte del citatanos del UE ha audite re iste accordo solmente in tempores recente, illo ha essite discutite al minus desde le anno 2011.
  5. Jam ab le initio, iste discussiones ha habite un effecto destabilisator in Ucraina, un pais profundemente divise inter le parte occidental pro-UE e le parte oriental pro-Russia.
  6. Si! Nos parla del mesme accordo cuje rejection per Victor Janukovych esseva le causa (o le pretexto, si vos prefere) del revolution de Maidan del 2013, qui postea degenerava in le guerra civil.
  7. De un latere, uno pote sentir se deluse per le resultato del referendum, e vider lo como si le UE habeva alimentate le divisiones in Ucraina e nunc abandonar lo in le momento de difficultate; del altere latere, in 2013 le major parte de iste votantes non mesmo sapeva de iste accordo e del delicate situation in Ucraina — alora, lor opinion non esseva demandate.
  8. Ucraina es destinate a devenir parte del UE, isto es inevitabile. Tosto o tarde, integralmente o partialmente (al minus le regiones occidental) Ucraina entrara in le UE (a minus que le union se disintegra ante isto, obviemente).

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Some notes on the Dutch EU-Ukraine association agreement referendum


The referendum's results were a clear victory of the "NO" party (about 61% versus 39% "YES"), and the voter turnout has been 32,2%, above the 30% required for the vote to be considered valid.

Quick considerations:
  1. Don't be disappointed (if you hoped for a "yes") or too happy (if you supported "no"): the referendum will ultimately be ignored, as it's not uncommon in our democracies.
  2. The association agreement is already in force.
  3. It's the first time that the agreement has been submitted to a popular vote.
  4. Although most of the EU citizens have heard of this agreement only recently, there have been talks about it since at least 2011.
  5. Since the beginning these talks have had a destabilizing effect on Ukraine, a country deeply divided into a western pro-EU part and an eastern pro-Russia part.
  6. Yes, we are talking about the same association agreement whose rejection by Viktor Janukovych was the cause (or pretext, if you like) for the 2013 Maidan revolution, which then degenerated into a civil war.
  7. On one hand, one can feel disappointed at the referendum results, and see them as if the EU has fueled the divisions in Ukraine and now has abandoned it; on the other hand, in 2013 most of these voters were totally unaware of the agreement and of the delicate situation of Ukraine — their opinion was not asked back then.
  8. Ukraine will eventually join the EU, it's just inevitable. Sooner or later, either the full Ukraine or its western regions will enter the EU (unless, of course, the EU disintegrates before that).

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